The man who made “Yes We Can” a nationally known slogan believes that Martha Coakley is going to lose on Tuesday.
Multiple advisers to President Obama have privately told party officials that they believe Democrat Martha Coakley is going to lose Tuesday’s special election to fill the Massachusetts Senate seat held by the late Ted Kennedy for more than 40 years, several Democratic sources told CNN Sunday.
The sources added that the advisers are still hopeful that Obama’s visit to Massachusetts on Sunday – coupled with a late push by Democratic activists – could help Coakley pull out a narrow victory in an increasingly tight race against Republican state Sen. Scott Brown.
However, the presidential advisers have grown increasingly pessimistic in the last three days about Coakley’s chances after a series of missteps by the candidate, sources said.
But White House spokesman Bill Burton told CNN: “The President is in Massachusetts today because he believes Martha Coakley is the right person for the job and indeed will be the next senator from Massachusetts.”
It’s sure looking like Scott Brown is poised to become our next Senator.
With each new poll comes more great news for Scott Brown. Now, the Cook Political Report has revised the Massachusetts Senate Special Election from “toss-up” to leaning in favor of Scott Brown.
Hours before President Barack Obama’s appearance with the Democratic candidate in the Massachusetts Senate race, political handicapper Charlie Cook sent an unusual weekend update to his Cook Political Report subscribers saying that Scott Brown, the Republican, is now a slight favorite.
Cook added in his Sunday afternoon bulletin that the race can still go either way.
“This past Thursday, Jan. 14, The Cook Political Report moved the open Massachusetts Senate seat rating from lean Democrat to toss-up, having moved it from solid Democrat to lean Democratic on Jan. 7,” Cook wrote. “We continue to see this race as very much of a toss-up, with Republican state Sen. Scott Brown holding onto a very narrow, single-digit lead over Democratic state Attorney General Martha Coakley.
“Given the vagaries of voter turnout, particularly in lower participation level special elections, this race could still go either way, but we put a finger on the scale for Brown. Last-minute Democratic attacks on Brown have driven his negatives up some and slightly diminished the incredible intensity of support that Brown enjoyed, but it looks more likely than not to hold.”
Today, President Barack Obama mocked Scott Brown references to his personal truck at the rally for Martha Coakley, saying that “everybody can buy a truck.”
Scott Brown responded to Obama’s mockery with the following statement:
Mr. President, unfortunately in this economy, not everybody can buy a truck. My goal is to change that by cutting spending, lowering taxes and letting people keep more of their own money.
Maybe under Obama’s economic plan, everybody is getting a truck…
How scared are the Democrats of Scott Brown? President Barack Obama is in town today, that’s how scared they are.
President Barack Obama was making a last-ditch attempt Sunday to save a Democratic-held Senate seat in Massachusetts – and an important 60th vote for his health care plan – as the top Senate Republican called the shockingly close race a verdict against the bill no matter who wins.
“This is, in effect, a referendum on the national health care bill,” Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell said. “It is perfectly clear if it’s unpopular in Massachusetts, it’s unpopular everywhere. The American people don’t want us to pass this bill.”
The legislation has dominated the tighter-than-expected race between Democrat Martha Coakley and Republican Scott Brown. She supports the bill. He doesn’t and has said he would vote against it, robbing Democrats of the 60-vote majority Obama has been relying on to pass much of his agenda and thwart Republican filibusters.
With so much on the line, Obama was heading to Boston to campaign with Coakley at Northeastern University in the midst of final negotiations over the sweeping health care plan and the aftermath of the earthquake in Haiti. His visit underscored the perilous situation facing Democrats in Massachusetts.
Despite the state’s long Democratic tradition, Coakley and Brown are in a dead heat heading into Tuesday’s special election to replace the late Edward M. Kennedy. Coakley, the state’s attorney general, had led Brown, a state senator, by double-digits in polls after the early December primaries.
But the race narrowed considerably over the past week as Brown’s populist message resonated with an angry and resentful electorate in an antiestablishment environment. He’s energized Republicans as well as attracted disillusioned Democrats and independents worried about taxes, spending, government expansion and health care under Obama. In a race this tight, turnout will be the key.
With the personal visit, Obama is seeking to fire up rank-and-file Democrats who outnumber Republicans in this state but who are dispirited just one year after he took office. Turnout is notoriously low in special elections, and Democrats need their loyalists – particularly blue-collar and minority voters who might not be motivated – to show up at the polls.
I love watching the panic state the Democrats are in. It makes me feel warm and cozy on the inside, it really does. I doubt Obama has any ability to save Coakley from an embarrassing defeat at this point. Obama coming to Massachusetts hurts both of them.
His previous defeats in New Jersey and Virginia pretty much made the chances of Obama coming to Massachusetts practically zero… but it appears there may in fact be an 11th hour Hail Mary from Obama after all.
White House chief of staff Rahm Emanuel has been in touch with Massachusetts Attorney General Martha Coakley’s Senate campaign about a possible stop in the state by President Obama, AP reports.
More: “The White House has shown increasing alarm about the race, with Chief of Staff Rahm Emanuel placing calls to top Massachusetts Democrats to assess Coakley’s chances and weigh the costs and benefits of a potential Obama visit.
Still think Coakley is leading in the polls?
If Barack Obama does come to Massachusetts, and Scott Brown still wins, it will prove Obama has no political capital left, and we can start calling him a lame duck.
Meanwhile…